OpenAI announces 1B MAU or 1B WAU first?
17
Ṁ1kṀ3kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
26%
>=1B Monthly Active Users
72%
>=1B Weekly Active Users
2%
Neither before EOY 2026
If they announce both at the same time resolves 50% to mau and 50% to wau.
If they announce 1.1B MAU, resolves to 1B MAU. Similarly, if they announce 1.5B WAU, resolves to 1B WAU
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Will OpenAI announce a power-purchase agreement exceeding 1 GW before 2027?
24% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
98% chance
In what year will OpenAI have a $1 Trillion market cap?
How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?
Will OpenAI raise $100b
97% chance
Sort by:
@1bets put your money where your mouth is:
If ChatGPT truly reached 1 billion unique human users, it would be monumental news, and I believe OpenAI would be announcing it from the rooftops. They certainly need that kind of 'push' to convince investors to buy into their shares at current valuations (that was announced, but didn't came through).
People are also trading
Related questions
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Will OpenAI announce a power-purchase agreement exceeding 1 GW before 2027?
24% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
98% chance
In what year will OpenAI have a $1 Trillion market cap?
How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?
Will OpenAI raise $100b
97% chance