resolves YES to the winner of the primary for Texas 18th on March 3rd, with runoff on May 26 if needed. If a runoff is needed, will resolve to winner of runoff.
This market is not for the special election at the end of January.
Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will close early (before the primary date of March 3rd, 2026).
1,000People are also trading
what happened here - is it only the areas that green was the representative for before that are reporting? or was all our analysis totally off
@Jack1 Is there a reason why? For me one of the big uses of horse race prediction markets is that they provide an easy-to-interpret analysis of results as the come in for races which I'm not following very closely
@archvenison For example in this case I saw that Green was leading very early returns, and wanted to check if the market thought that that was meaningful
Christian menefee was endorsed by Talarico and Crockett for the special election. Not sure about endorsements for this primary though. Will be interesting if people like Pramila Jayapal make endorements. She endorsed Christian in the special election, but this primary includes Al green who is a member of the progressive caucus. Maybe some people will stay out of this race