Will there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?
6
Ṁ110Ṁ2232029
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_retired_Atlantic_hurricane_names
As of Dec 2023 there are 96 retired Atlantic storm names.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
The average number of retired names has been 2 names/year in the last couple of decades, and slightly lower than that in the last decade. To get to 110, the rate would need to increase 50% for an average of 3 names retired annually in 2024-2028.
(I made this quick stacked bar chart. Blue is the number retired that year, red is the sum of all previous years. I projected until 2028.)