Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?
24
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k2027
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war. Resolves yes if before 2028 there is a wikipedia page describing an Iranian civil war, no otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
39% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
57% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
42% chance
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
20% chance
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
39% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
39% chance