MANIFOLD
LWCW 2026 keynote speaker [ADD OPTIONS]
11
Ṁ375Ṁ634
Dec 31
20%
Anna Riedl
17%
Other
11%
Gwern
10%
Oliver Habryka
8%
Nate Soares
7%
Nuño Sempere
6%
Aella
6%
Joscha Bach
4%
Tetra
2%
Zvi Mowshowitz
2%
Duncan Sabien
1.9%
Tim Urban
1.8%
David Gerard
1.6%
Scott Alexander
1.5%
Eliezer Yudkowksy

If LWCW 2026 does not take place this market resolves as N/A.

If multiple people are announced as keynote speakers it will resolve as YES in equal parts to all of them.

The market will resolve to which person does in fact give the keynote, not only who is announced as doing so. This may matter if someone has to cancel last minute.

Giving the keynote remotely or as a video recording counts.

Zvi house rules apply.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy